Who’s killing e-mail?

A couple of days ago I capitulated and activated my Twitter account (all Mai‘s fault !). Mostly because I want to understand. I have therefore completed the star of my Social Media tools and am increasingly realizing that there are some areas of overlap like status updates and messaging: when a friend sends me a message on Facebook, I reply via Twitter and involve a third person via email, the whole conversation verges on the disconnected. Is this still efficient?

How many times will I want to update my status? How many times will I accept to login?

I just connected my blog to Twitter using twitterfeed, thereby eliminating the need to tweet my blog posts – in itself probably a despicable habit, but I just can’t see myself telling the world “Uh! Oh! it’s raining cats & dogs, here !”

I think a shakedown & refocus is in the making: I admit that my love for clean UI is influencing my predictions which therefore are probably all wrong, but there you go.

Social Media star
Social Media star

My crystal ball sayeth:

  1. email usage will drop (like we’ll get half of what we get now): most of the personal crap will migrate to more personal platforms
  2. free, web-based (consumer) email will wither, spam will die
  3. professional focused tools like LinkedIn will shed all the social cruft (status updates, messaging) and return to a simpler, starker UI
  4. assuming proper integration, I wish the blog + twitter combo would triumph over facebook, but given its enormous headstart, I predict FB will take on blogs AND Twitter by adding a blogging platform (like Typepad, for example) and robust microblogging features

At the end of which we may be left with a couple of tools for the professional world (LinkedIn and email) and one for our own lives (the son of Facebook)


5 thoughts on “Who’s killing e-mail?

  1. Thank you for the credit! I accept it willingly and deservingly :)

    I think I agree with the first 3 predictions of your crystal ball, but certainly not the fourth. FB may remain dominant in many ways such as
    a) an aggregator of content from all other pages, networks and profiles.
    b) a great personal contact tool
    c) a way for brands/organisations to build dialogue with their target audience directly.

    BUT, even if they do add in all the features that make Twitter et al so attractive, I think, or rather I’d hope, that FB will continue to be a little more private. Meaning that it will be the one platform where you’re happy to post photos of ur last crazy holiday in Rhodes or ur kid’s second birthday party without inviting comment from complete strangers. You don’t have to accept friend requests from your Twitter followers or Xing network contacts. And I don’t think Limited Profile is the solution.

  2. mind you, FB is my least loved platform – I said it before and will say it again: the UI just too is messy. I just think that in the current depressed economic climate it’s those who are closer to profits that will survive and FB is closer than Twitter, that’s all. Given a chance, I’d like much more the blog + Twitter combo, no doubt !

  3. Have you seen MS’ new ‘live’ offerings? Another prediction – everything on the Internet will try to look like FB/Twitter (and your LinkedIn prediction will, at least in the short to medium, be wrong as they try and ‘socialise) it.

    My Twitter updates my FB status and also a widget on the blog, but it’s meant that I can’t have ‘proper’ conversations on Twitter, which I think is interesting – because it’s reduced my Twittering to assertions or ‘look what I found’ Twurl Tweets, not ‘I’m drinking mocha today’.

  4. You’re damn right, they are TRYING, but not SUCCEEDING. And if they lose their business focus becoming another “social” thing (i.e. a FB clone with a tenth of the user base) from the user perspective why bother being on two? Would you bet money on Plaxo surviving? or Xing? That’s why I think/hope Hoffman will see the value in the social-business franchise they own, and refocus back to basics. Either that or die.

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